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Richard Tumushime’s love of solar lights the way from Pittsburgh to Rwanda

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When Richard Tumushime drives his family around his adopted hometown of Pittsburgh, he often passes the many solar arrays he’s helped to install. Projects he’s worked on include major business parks, such as the Fed Ex Ground Corporate Headquarters, and some of the city’s iconic public spaces, like the grand Phipps Conservatory and Frick Park.

“The kids say, ‘Hey, my dad put up those solar units,'” he told Newsweek in a recent telephone interview, with an unmistakable note of pride.

Tumushime said he has tried to learn every aspect of the solar business while installing rooftop panels on homes, ground-mounted units in corporate parks and setting up the battery storage units and electrical systems he now manages for the solar company Energy Independent Solutions.

“I wanted to know all the ins and outs of solar, I love it,” he said.

His own home runs on solar power. He said he enjoys watching the electric meter run backwards when the panels on his house pump power back into the grid, covering his electricity costs in summer and earning him credit for when he’ll need to draw more power in winter.

Tumushime, 40, recently marked 10 years in the solar industry and 15 years in the U.S. In his mid-20s, he left his home country, Rwanda, to study electrical engineering at La Roche University in Pittsburgh. He fell in love with both the city and the woman he would marry, Colleen Moran, and they are now parents to three daughters.

Meanwhile, his work in renewable energy is gaining notice. The climate solutions nonprofit Project Drawdown featured him in its “Drawdown’s Neighborhood” profile series, highlighting people involved in community-level work to address climate change.

Tumushime’s professional life is a classic American success story and a part of Pittsburgh’s ongoing transformation from one of America’s most polluted cities to a green energy leader. In his private life, he’s also contributing to the transformation of his native country, which is still healing from the scars from a genocidal civil war nearly 30 years ago.

Renewables in Rwanda

Tumushime was just a boy when ethnic violence swept Rwanda in 1994, leaving an estimated 800,000 people dead.

“I tell people there is no way someone can describe that. It’s very hard to understand what went on in Rwanda,” he said of that horrible period. People there are still working to find ways to reconcile the past, he said. “One of the things that helps us to move forward is to say, ‘How can you forgive your neighbor and to live together?'”

His mother and brothers still live in Rwanda, and he said he visits the country each year, usually around Christmas. Before a trip, he would fill suitcases with thrift store clothes, shoes and other supplies to take to the village of Zaza in eastern Rwanda, where his mother grew up.

In 2012, Tumushime and Moran, a social worker with a degree in sociology and psychology, started a nonprofit called The Bridge to Hope to contribute more to Zaza’s development. The all-volunteer effort now supports small-scale, direct programs for education, health and job training.

One of the group’s projects brings solar-powered lighting to the rural village, which lacks electricity.

“We started a campaign to get those lights into the village because the kids, they wanted to do their homework and couldn’t do the homework because there’s no light,” he said.

A 2019 report by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization estimates that about 80 percent of rural Rwandan households rely on firewood or other biomass for cooking fuel, heat and light.

In Zaza, Tumushime said, children were often using paraffin wax candles.

“The smoke is really dangerous, it comes out like a black smoke,” he said. “In the long run, it’s affecting their lungs.”

The World Health Organization estimates that indoor air pollution from wood fires and dirty stoves fueled by kerosene or coal is responsible for 3.2 million deaths per year globally, including some 237,000 deaths among children. Renewable energy could help reduce that toll and cut the demand for firewood and charcoal, lessening the pressure that contributes to deforestation.

The Bridge to Hope got a discount on rechargeable solar lamps from the company MPOWERD and delivered about 200 of them to Zaza, where Tumushime demonstrated their operation for people.

“You put them outside during the day and those lights can work for 24 hours,” Tumushime said. The next solar project for the group is a solar-powered pump on a village water well.

Solar and other renewable energy sources hold great promise for developing nations like Rwanda. Distributed energy and microgrids possible with renewable energy sources can bring electricity to rural areas without the need for large-scale electrical grids and long-distance power transmission lines that can require tremendous cost and years of construction. The Rwandan government’s development goals call for those types of off-grid electricity solutions to bring power to roughly half of the country’s 14 million residents.

Rust Belt Reinvention

Tumushime’s time in Pittsburgh coincides with the city’s own evolution from a center of industrial might to a new hub of clean energy innovation. Just a couple of generations ago, Pittsburgh’s steel mills formed its economic base and cultural identity. But pollution also darkened the skies above the city’s three river valleys and poisoned the lungs of many living there.

The nearby Monongahela River town of Donora suffered one of the deadliest air pollution events in American history 75 years ago this month. In late October 1948, toxic emissions from a metals plant that became trapped in the valley sickened thousands of people and killed at least 20, sparking research into the health effects of air pollution. A museum in Donora calls the town the “place where clean air began.”

When globalization and automation gutted the region’s steel industry in the 1970s and 1980s, Pittsburgh was forced to rethink its local economy. Through investing in infrastructure and education and leveraging the strength of its universities and research institutions, the city has become a thriving model of Rust Belt reinvention.

By the time Pittsburgh hosted last year’s Global Clean Energy Action Forum, a gathering of international leaders in renewable energy, the city and its surrounding counties boasted more than 17,000 clean energy jobs.

One of those jobs is Tumushime’s, though it’s clear he views it as more than just a job.

“Every day you’re working on someone’s roof or business, I feel like you’re making the world a better place,” he said.

Tropical Storm Tammy path forecast on map

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Tropical storm Tammy, the 19th named storm of the hurricane season, may be about to strengthen to hurricane-force winds as it moves northwards.

The storm, which is currently around 100 miles east of Barbados, is forecast to move gradually northwest towards the U.S. as it gets stronger, before a possible sudden veer northeast back into the Atlantic.

National Hurricane Center maps show the storm skirting past the Leeward Islands, with hurricane watches in effect in Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, and Anguilla, St. Maarten, and St. Martin and St. Barthelemy; tropical storm warnings in Dominica, Saba and St. Eustatius; and tropical storm watches in Barbados and Martinique.

Storm watches are issued around 48 hours before a hurricane or tropical storm is due to hit a certain area, while storm warnings are issued 36 hours beforehand.

“Tammy is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast later today, and this motion should continue through Saturday,” a National Hurricane Center public advisory said on Friday. “A more northward motion is forecast to begin Saturday night or Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Tammy will move near or over the Leeward Islands later today through Saturday, and then move north of the Leeward Islands Saturday night and Sunday.”

The storm’s maximum wind speeds are around 60 miles per hour, with more intense gusts, and it is expected to strengthen possibly to hurricane strength by the weekend.

“Gradual strengthening is expected to begin later today and continue into this weekend. Tammy is forecast to be at or near hurricane intensity when it moves near the Leeward Islands tonight and Saturday,” the advisory said.

Hurricanes are defined as storms that have wind speeds of 74 mph or over, with anything below that being classified as a tropical storm or a tropical depression. Category 1 hurricanes have wind speeds between 74 and 95 mph, Category 2 hurricanes between 96 and 110 mph, Category 3 between 111 and 129 mph, Category 4 between 130 mph and 156 mph, and Category 5 hurricanes have wind speeds of 157 mph and over. Major hurricanes are categories 3, 4 and 5.

“Tropical storms develop from a cluster of clouds in the tropics with a cyclonic/rotational (rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere, and clockwise in the southern hemisphere) wind pattern,” Haiyan Jiang, a professor of Earth and environment at Florida International University, told Newsweek.

Storms may strengthen as they move over the ocean, upgrading from tropical storm to hurricane, or increasing between hurricane categories.

“There are many environmental factors that control how a storm intensifies or weakens. Among them, the most important ones are warm sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, low vertical wind shear, and high atmospheric moisture,” Jiang said.

Tammy is expected to lash the Leeward Islands with rain as it passes, pouring a predicted 4 to 8 inches of rain, and up to 12 inches at most. The Northern Windward Islands are forecast to receive 2 to 4 inches, while the British and U.S. Virgin Islands into eastern Puerto Rico may see between 1 and 2 inches. This deluge of rain is feared to create flash flooding in urban areas, and possibly trigger landslides in some areas.

In the future, with the encroaching effects of climate change, the impacts of tropical storms and hurricanes may cause increased destruction in urban areas.

“The rates at which hurricanes strengthen, and the frequency with which they transition from relatively weak storms into major hurricanes has significantly increased in just the last 50 years, over the same time when we see substantial increases to ocean surface temperatures due to human-caused warming. Without major changes in our behavior, and a rapid transition away from fossil fuels, this is a trend that will continue to get more extreme,” Andra Garner, assistant professor at Rowan University in New Jersey, previously told Newsweek.

“We are already seeing overall increases to the fastest rates at which Atlantic hurricanes intensify—which means that we are likely already seeing an increased risk of hazards for our coastal communities. This means that it will be especially important for our coastal communities to work towards enhanced coastal resiliency measures and emergency action plans that may be able to adapt to hurricanes that strengthen more quickly,” she said.

Do you have a tip on a science story that Newsweek should be covering? Do you have a question about tropical storm Tammy? Let us know via science@newsweek.com.

Hurricane Norma’s ominous forecast shows dangerous path for Texas

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As Hurricane Norma slows to a stall in the Pacific Ocean, its impacts in Texas are highly dependent on another system approaching from the Pacific Northwest.

As of Friday afternoon, Hurricane Norma had wind speeds of 110 miles per hour and was churning off the western coast of Mexico. It was headed toward Mexico at 8 mph and is expected to be near the southern part of the state of Baja California on Friday night into Saturday, according to a recent update from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). It is the third major storm to approach Mexico in two weeks.

Norma is expected to continue its gradual weakening but is still forecast to be a hurricane as it passes near or over the southern part of Mexico’s Baja California. The storm is then anticipated to cut across Mexico with some impacts barreling into Texas by next week, although the storm will be post-tropical at that point and the highest risk will be from rainfall.

However, Norma’s impacts on the United States depend largely on a dip in the jet stream in the eastern Pacific heading toward the Pacific Northwest. The storm system is anticipated to make landfall in Oregon next week and then cut south, potentially approaching Texas at the same time as the remnants of Norma. Depending on how long Norma stalls, the two storms could merge and worsen potential flooding impacts.

If the storms merge, AccuWeather senior meteorologist Alex DaSilva believes that the worst of the U.S. impacts will be felt by Texas during the middle of next week.

If Norma continues its path without merging, some parts of southern and central Texas will be subject to up to 3 inches of rain, mostly beneficial given the state’s drought. However, if it merges with the approaching system, rainfall totals could exceed 4 inches in some areas throughout Oklahoma, Kansas and Texas.

Although Texas could use the rain, too much rain too fast could be dangerous given the state’s drought.

As of Friday, 7 percent of Texas was suffering from exceptional drought, the most severe drought classification by the United States Geological Survey. However, more than 11 percent of the state was free from drought, a slight improvement over last week, when 9.6 percent of Texas was free from drought.

If the storms merge, more rain could be dumped on Texas and potentially turn into a flash flooding situation.

“Drought could exacerbate the dangers of flooding,” DaSilva told Newsweek. “If the ground is too dry, it sometimes struggles to absorb the water and it runs off.”

Impacts from Norma could be felt in Texas as early as Tuesday. If the storm doesn’t stall for longer west of Mexico, there could be a break between storms in Texas as the other system is expected to hit midweek.

“Timing is going to be everything with this,” DaSilva said.

Why the Rockefellers are spending their oil fortune to end fossil fuels

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When the Rockefeller Foundation launched a high-profile campaign last month to support climate solutions, the move gained attention for two reasons: the $1 billion-plus size of the pledge and the name attached to it.

The Rockefeller name has been synonymous with the oil industry since John D. Rockefeller, Sr.’s Standard Oil Company became the dominant source of petroleum in the U.S. around the turn of the 20th century. Today, however, many of Rockefeller’s heirs and the philanthropies they founded are using one of the world’s most storied oil fortunes to help end the use of fossil fuels.

“There is an irony to it,” the Rockefeller Foundation’s Joseph Curtin acknowledged in an interview with Newsweek, but he added that he sees a “logical consistency” in applying oil wealth to climate action. “I feel that we’ve an extra responsibility almost to address the climate change challenge on that basis.”

As managing director for the Rockefeller Foundation’s Power & Climate team, Curtin will lead programs to reduce the use of coal-fired power in Asia and speed deployment of battery storage for renewable energy on electric grids. Other projects will include renewable energy mini-grids in developing countries, climate-smart infrastructure, and nature-based solutions for carbon removal and climate resilience. The new strategy will direct about 75 percent of the group’s grants over the coming five years into climate action, all of it funded by a fortune that sprang from oil wellheads.

“I see the Foundation’s $1 billion climate solutions commitment as entirely consistent with John D. Rockefeller, Sr.’s philanthropic ideals,” Rockefeller family member Daniel Growald told Newsweek in an email exchange.

Growald is a great-great grandson of John D. Rockefeller, Sr. and works in clean energy investment and entrepreneurship. He said climate change was unknown when Rockefeller started the oil business. Now that we know fossil fuels have “placed humanity on a collision course,” he said, it makes sense to direct the family wealth into solving problems that come from oil extraction.

“Rather than being somehow wrong for money earned from oil to be used to fund a world beyond oil, it’s what we should hope to see more of in society: That successive generations use their resources to correct harms only recently brought to awareness, and we evolve our goals in step with our consciousness,” Growald wrote.

Newsweek spoke with representatives of the three major Rockefeller philanthropies and some of their high-profile grant recipients about the ways that this historic fossil fuel fortune can help bring about a cleaner energy future, even when it means confronting the oil giant that grew from John D. Rockefeller’s business.

Tackling Exxon

John D. Rockefeller, Sr. started Standard Oil in 1870 and at one point controlled roughly 90 percent of oil production in the U.S., becoming one of the world’s richest people.

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled in 1911 that Standard’s monopoly power violated antitrust law, and the company broke into several smaller ones. In 1972, one of those companies became Exxon and in 1999 Exxon merged with another Standard spin-off, Mobil Oil. Today, Exxon Mobil is the world’s largest publicly traded oil company with $413 billion in total revenue last year, an increase of nearly 45 percent from the previous year.

Rockefeller established the foundation that bears his name with a $100 million endowment. His children and grandchildren started other charitable groups, including the Rockefeller Brothers Fund in 1940 and the Rockefeller Family Fund in 1967.

All three of those philanthropic organizations are now engaged in large-scale climate action campaigns, and some of that work challenges Exxon Mobil.

“It was certainly, from my perspective, an act of courage to go directly at the source of the family’s wealth, but it also came from a sense of responsibility,” Rockefeller Family Fund Director Lee Wasserman told Newsweek.

Exxon Mobil, perhaps more than any other oil company, has come under criticism not only for its greenhouse gas emissions but due to revelations about what the company knew about the impacts those emissions would have. That information is now public thanks, in part, to the Rockefeller family.

“They have, I think, a particularly important sense of standing to call out the company and the horrific conduct that they’ve been engaged in now for all these decades,” Wasserman said.

Scholarship supported by the Rockefeller Family Fund helped to disclose how Exxon kept secret its own internal science on the coming effects of climate change and worked to obfuscate public knowledge about climate change.

“Exxon Mobil systematically misrepresented what they knew about climate change and misrepresented what mainstream scientists were saying,” science historian and author Naomi Oreskes said to Newsweek.

The Rockefeller Family Fund supported Oreskes’ work at Harvard University, where she is the Henry Charles Lea professor of the history of science and an affiliated professor in earth and planetary sciences.

Building on groundbreaking investigative journalism by the nonprofit Inside Climate News, Oreskes published peer-reviewed studies to establish a firm public record of Exxon’s behavior. Her most recent work with co-author Geoffrey Supran, published in January in the journal Science, shows that Exxon had remarkably accurate climate modeling decades ago that predicted some of the very conditions we are now experiencing.

“Exxon Mobil executives explicitly said that climate models weren’t accurate or precise enough to be able to predict what would happen,” Oreskes said. “Their own scientists were telling them, ‘Well, actually, we really do know.'”

Oreskes’ research has been cited as evidence in lawsuits seeking to hold Exxon Mobil accountable for damage from climate change, and the Rockefeller Family Fund also supports some of the plaintiffs in those suits. Wasserman said the fund has given grants to two nonprofits litigating some of the climate cases.

Oreskes said she would like to see more business leaders doing what the Rockefeller family has done, coming to grips with changing realities.

“That would be my hope for the companies that John D. Rockefeller created but, sadly, our work has shown that’s not what the companies are doing,” she said.

When contacted for comment, an Exxon Mobil media relations representative responded with the following statement: “We are focused on the future and our role in the energy transition, which is rooted in our efforts on investing $17 billion in real solutions to reduce emissions—ones that will have a real, sustainable impact on people and the planet.”

On October 11, Exxon Mobil announced the $59.5 billion purchase of Texas-based shale oil company Pioneer Natural Resources. Industry analysts say that shows that the company has no intention of moving away from oil for at least another decade.

Celebrating Change

A third major Rockefeller philanthropy, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, has been investing in clean energy and climate action for more than a decade. A company spokesperson told Newsweek via email that it expects to make nearly $29 million in climate-related grants this year, continuing a long tradition of conservation spending.

One frequent grant recipient is the climate activist group 350.org, which was co-founded by environmental journalist Bill McKibben in 2008. Named for a safer concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, 350 parts per million, the group has chapters in 70 countries and has adopted online organizing techniques to target fossil fuel producers with protests and pressure campaigns. A review of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund’s disclosure records shows a little more than $2 million in grants to the group over 12 years.

“I think they understood from the start the power of their name to help people understand the necessity of this transition,” McKibben told Newsweek via email.

In addition to directing their spending toward climate action, the Rockefeller groups have also shifted their income streams by divesting from fossil fuel interests. The Rockefeller Foundation announced its move away from fossil fuel investments in 2020, following similar action by the Rockefeller Family Fund in 2016 and the Rockefeller Brothers Fund in 2014.

McKibben recalled attending an event in 2014 to announce the Rockefeller Brothers Fund’s divestment.

“I remember thinking, the oldest oil fortune on Earth has decided that oil is not the future in any way; we’re getting somewhere,” McKibben said.

McKibben noted that the Rockefellers aren’t the only oil heirs to put their money into climate action. For example, Aileen Getty, an heir to the Getty Oil fortune, uses her foundation and public profile to support climate solutions. The Pew Charitable Trusts have also funded numerous projects on climate policy and clean energy over the years. The Pew family fortune originally derives from Jospeh Pew’s Sun Oil Company, now Sunoco.

“Remember, the whole point of movements is to convince people to change,” McKibben said. “When people, and families, do change then we celebrate.”

Green solar energy beamed from space may soon be cheap and plentiful

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Three years ago, Sanjay Vijendran’s colleague told him about a scheme that seemed straight out of science fiction: beaming energy from solar panels in space down to the Earth. “The whole idea was new to me,” says Vijendran, a scientist at the European Space Agency (ESA). “It sounded like something you’d laugh at.”

No one’s laughing now, least of all Vijendran. He’s heading ESA’s Solaris project, which is working toward launching satellites that by the mid-2030s could be beaming down a sizable fraction of all the energy Europe needs. And that’s just one of several major pushes around the globe to tap sunlight from space to help reduce dependence on fossil fuel. “The pieces are coming together right now to make this a reality,” says Vijendran.

Earth-bound solar panels provide the world with about five percent of its electricity, and that number has been growing at a torrid 25 percent a year. But even by 2050 it isn’t expected to meet half the planet’s electricity needs. That’s partly because there are only so many rooftops and empty lots available for solar panels. But it’s also because solar panels sit uselessly in the dark or under clouds most of the time, often when daily energy demand peaks.

Overcoming those drawbacks would require staggering investments in solar farms, batteries and electric grid upgrades to capture, store and transfer enough solar power to the places and times it’s needed. Not so with solar panels orbiting the Earth, where they’d rarely leave sunlight. “Power storage and transfer are the true bottlenecks in moving to renewable energy,” says Fabien Royer, an assistant professor of aerospace and mechanical engineering at Cornell University, who has researched space-based solar technology. “Solar power from space gets around all that by constantly generating power, and delivering it locally.”

Vijendran and many other scientists and engineers believe that energy beamed from space will eventually beat out nuclear, wind and Earth-bound solar panels to become the planet’s cheapest and most widespread form of green energy.

Plunging Costs

As hopelessly futuristic as the whole enterprise may sound, it’s actually an old, well-explored idea, and even one that’s been technically feasible for decades. NASA, for one, has been studying the approach closely since the 1970s. Even back then, the U.S. probably had the launch, solar-panel and wireless power transmission capabilities to pull off a first orbiting solar plant. NASA had even considered embarking on a mission to give it a try. But only meager levels of electricity would have made it to the ground, at a cost of about a trillion dollars, thanks mostly to the massive cost of rocket launches at the time. “You need thousands of tons of hardware to build a power-generating satellite,” says Vijendran. The space agency eventually abandoned the plan, especially given that fossil fuel prices remained low.

Now, largely because of SpaceX, launch costs have plunged from about $8,500 per pound of cargo in 2000 to less than a tenth that today, and they are expected to continue to sharply decrease. At the same time, new carbon fiber materials and thin-film electronics have led to solar panels that are larger, lighter, more efficient and flexible enough to be rolled into a compact tube for launching. What’s more, new designs do away with giant solar panels in favor of modular panels comprising many small ones. “These modular structures can be affordably launched in pieces with the rockets we have right now,” says Cornell’s Royer.

These cost breakthroughs, combined with a skyrocketing demand for green energy, have triggered a global race to field the first space-based solar-power generating stations. In addition to ESA’s push, China, Japan and the U.K. all have active programs aiming to launch their first demonstration power-generating satellites before the end of the decade. “It looks feasible to have space-based solar power contributing to green energy goals within 10 to 15 years,” says Vijendran.

NASA and the Department of Energy haven’t announced any significant commitments, but the U.S. isn’t taking a backseat. The California Institute of Technology (Caltech) has taken an early lead over everyone by launching a demonstration solar satellite that has already beamed down a tiny bit of power, and military contractor Northrop Grumman is close behind in a partnership with the U.S. Air Force. Several startups are gearing up, too, including Virtus Solis in Troy, Michigan, and others in the U.K. and Australia. “This is going to be one of our major sources of power,” says Ali Hajimiri, a professor of electrical engineering at Caltech.

Hajimiri should know. He’s co-director of Caltech’s Space Solar Power Project, the current world pacesetter in the field. That lead owes in large part to the project’s early start nearly a decade ago, with more than $100 million in funding from the Donald Bren Foundation. Northrop Grumman was an early Caltech backer, too, chipping in more than $12 million.

Like most of the solar space projects around the world, Caltech’s is built around the idea of wringing energy not from a few giant solar panels, but rather from as many as thousands of small ones tightly linked to make a bigger structure. In Caltech’s case, each mini-panel would consist of 16 “tiles,” each of which contain all the circuitry needed to convert the sunlight hitting one side of the tile to microwave energy that is beamed out the other side to the Earth’s surface.

Microwave radiation—which is just a type of radio energy—is the beam of choice of space-based solar projects. That’s because unlike most other forms of energy, such as lasers, microwave beams can pass right through clouds, moisture and other spoilers in the Earth’s atmosphere, ensuring that most of the energy reaches the ground. In addition, microwave beams can carry the needed power at safe levels—the beams would be far less intense than what’s in a home microwave oven, equivalent to about a quarter of the typical intensity of the sunlight that hits the ground. “There’s no risk of anything getting fried by it,” notes Royer.

In Space and Operational

The biggest challenge to the endeavor is producing a narrow enough beam in space so that as it travels down and spreads out, it doesn’t require a receiving antenna on the ground that’s hundreds of miles wide. That turns out to be another advantage of the modular-panel approach: By perfectly synchronizing the beams formed by each tile, the beams can be made to “interfere” with each other—that is, to cancel each other out in some directions and combine in others. It’s a trick that physicists have been using since the late 18th century to shape beams of light into specific patterns. Even many AM radio stations enlist the technique to aim their broadcast signals.

In the case of solar-power satellites, the interference between the many small microwave beams can be fine-tuned to produce a single, focused beam that might only be inches wide when it starts its journey, spreading out to a mile or so by the time it reaches the Earth. A two-mile-wide receiving antenna might seem like a tall order—but it would be a fraction of the area needed for enough Earth-bound solar panels to produce as much power as a beam from space panels could.

In January, Caltech put just one of its panels into orbit about 300 miles up—a bit higher than the International Space Station—and by June it was shooting out a microwave beam that generated a miniscule but detectable electrical current in a three-foot-wide receiving antenna on the roof of the school’s engineering building. “We’ve built and launched hardware that’s in space and operational,” says Caltech’s Hajimiri. “There are still challenges to work out, but we’re closer to space-based solar power than we’ve ever been.”

Caltech doesn’t currently have firm plans to send up more panels. Instead, the project is aiming to refine the technology in part based on the results from the demonstration project. But in theory more modules could be sent up to join alongside the first one, increasing the total amount of solar energy captured. More modules would also produce a more powerful, better focused microwave beam, because the more separate mini-beams there are from multiple panels, the more interference there is between them to narrow and intensify the resulting combined beam. “As we scale the system up, we’ll be able to bring more and more power to a smaller and smaller area,” says Hajimiri. “That way most of the power goes where it’s needed.”

A larger solar satellite made up of thousands of modules orbiting a few hundred miles or so above the Earth could keep a beam of energy focused on a single ground receiving antenna for about eight hours a day before the satellite passed out of sight. Three such satellites spread out in orbit could ensure a constant beam to the antenna—and spreading out three ground antennas around the globe would mean each of the three satellites could constantly be beaming power down to an antenna.

That’s the sort of ambitious scheme that ESA is shooting for in its Solaris project, which includes aircraft maker Airbus as a partner. Plans call for launching a demonstration satellite in 2030, followed about five years later by a working space-based power plant. If that goes well, the agency says it will put up multiple large plants that together will produce a petawatt of power—that is, a million gigawatts, or about a seventh of Europe’s current energy consumption. Each satellite’s modular solar panels would likely span more than half a mile, says Vijendran, beaming down to ground receiving antennas that are each about four miles wide.

But Northrop Grumman could beat everyone in sending up a working power plant, thanks to the deep pockets of the Air Force Research Laboratory. The AFRL has so far kicked in $100 million toward a 2025 launch of a prototype, as part of the Space Solar Power Incremental Demonstrations and Research (SSPIDR) project. Because the military’s goal is to get electricity to troops, vehicles and weapons on the frontlines of a conflict, it doesn’t necessarily need to beam down the many gigawatts required of a practical commercial station. That means it could get by with smaller, more easily achievable power stations and receiving antennas

“In times of war, the costs and dangers of getting fuel to forward operating bases increases exponentially,” says Tara Theret, SSPIDR program director at Northrop Grumman. “We’ve already solved all the technical problems we needed to solve to achieve our first mission.” Theret adds that the platform could also help get energy to remote villages hit by environmental catastrophe.

The China Question

China, meanwhile, remains a wild card. Officials there have made a number of statements in recent years promising various timetables for launching large power stations over the coming decade, and there are reports of the existence of a massive lab dedicated to the effort. But details and credible verification remain elusive.

Although the projected costs of developing and setting up space-based solar-power stations have plummeted, they won’t be cheap anytime soon. That means space solar power from the first orbiting power stations will likely far exceed the costs of Earth-based solar power, not to mention fossil fuel. But Vijendran notes that launch costs will continue to sharply drop with the availability of the sorts of reusable launch vehicles that SpaceX has been developing, as well as with the growing capability to assemble solar panel components in orbit with robots instead of having to rely on vastly more costly astronaut labor. “When you put these savings together, the cost of electricity from space will become comparable to other clean-energy solutions,” he says. “Longer-term it won’t just be competitive with existing renewables, it will be the cheapest form of any energy.”

By then, a funny science-fiction idea will be helping to save the planet.

Hurricane scientist issues "urgent warning" over her findings

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Hurricanes in the Atlantic are intensifying faster than ever before, a scientist has found, saying her findings should serve as an “urgent warning” to people to change their behavior.

Atlantic hurricanes are twice as likely to go from a weak Category 1 to a major Category 3—or perhaps even stronger—in 24 hours than they were in the late 1900s, the study published in Scientific Reports found.

These hurricanes are now more likely to intensify along the east coast of the U.S. than they were several decades ago, raising the risk of greater death and destruction, and the study’s author believes that human-caused climate change may be to blame.

“I do think that these findings should really serve as an urgent warning,” Andra Garner, lead author of the study and assistant professor at Rowan University in New Jersey, told Newsweek.

“The rates at which hurricanes strengthen, and the frequency with which they transition from relatively weak storms into major hurricanes has significantly increased in just the last 50 years, over the same time when we see substantial increases to ocean surface temperatures due to human-caused warming. Without major changes in our behavior, and a rapid transition away from fossil fuels, this is a trend that will continue to get more extreme.”

The awesome power of hurricanes was driven home again this year by Hurricane Idalia, which left a path of flooding and destruction on its way through the Caribbean and southeastern United States in August, killing at least four people and causing billions of dollars of damage.

To draw her conclusions, Garner compared how hurricane wind speed changed over the course of every Atlantic hurricane between 1970 and 2020. The research found that the likelihood of a hurricane reaching 20 knots or greater had increased from 42.3 percent between 1970 and 1990 to 56.7 percent from 2001 to 2020.

The chances of hurricanes increasing in strength also increased. Researchers found that the chances of a weak hurricane turning into a strong hurricane increased from 3.23 percent to 8.12 percent in the same time periods.

This could increase the danger for those who live in hurricane-prone areas.

“There are several ways that more quickly intensifying storms may impact those who are in their path,” Garner said. “One way is that, when storms intensify quickly, they can become more difficult to forecast, and to plan for in terms of emergency action plans for coastal residents. We also know that many of the strongest, most damaging hurricanes do intensify particularly quickly at some point in their lifetime.”

“My work shows that we are already seeing overall increases to the fastest rates at which Atlantic hurricanes intensify—which means that we are likely already seeing an increased risk of hazards for our coastal communities. This means that it will be especially important for our coastal communities to work towards enhanced coastal resiliency measures and emergency action plans that may be able to adapt to hurricanes that strengthen more quickly.”

Hurricanes also began to intensify more quickly off the U.S. Atlantic coast, and in the Caribbean Sea, than other parts of the globe.

“Better communication methods are needed to warn at-risk communities as it is difficult to predict when in its lifespan a hurricane will strengthen most rapidly,” Garner says.

Hurricanes also become stronger over areas with warmer sea surface temperatures. As climate change worsens, with sea temperatures increasing, so have the quick intensification rates of hurricanes.

While it seems clear that certain parts of the U.S. are bound for more rapidly changing hurricanes, more research into the effect of the wider Atlantic basin is needed, the study reports.

Since 2017, four out of five most economically damaging Atlantic hurricanes have all intensified at a rapid pace.

Extreme weather events have become more widespread in recent years, and a U.N. panel has concluded that is due to climate change.

Weather events are becoming more unpredictable, and subject to “whiplash,” meaning they go from one extreme to another.

For example, California has recently seen an extremely wet winter and early spring. This followed an incredibly dry year and prolonged drought conditions, where the region suffered a severe lack of rainfall.

The storms that battered California this past winter however were strong, and led to intense flooding in areas where the conditions were bone dry.

“I think it’s also important to mention that there is definitely still hope,” Garner said. “That hope that comes from knowing that we are the cause of this problem, so we can also be the solution, and knowing that we could secure a more sustainable future. But that hope will only be realized if we take the necessary actions to decarbonize our economies.”

“There are lots of additional avenues for this work that I plan to explore, including investigating how intensification rates of TCs (tropical cyclones) change in the future, under different potential warming scenarios, and potentially expanding this work to other ocean basins for a more global view as well.”

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Lake Mead’s first water level forecast this year brings better news

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Lake Mead’s first water level forecast of the 2023 water year brought better news than originally expected.

Projections released by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation estimate that the reservoir, which lies between Arizona and Nevada on the Colorado River, will be 2.57 feet higher than predicted in forecasts from last month.

The most recent data comes from the bureau’s “most probable” forecast for the reservoir. Officials report that the lake could drop to an elevation of 1,056.94 feet in October 2024. Last month’s predictions said it would drop further than this, to 1,054.37 feet. Lake Mead’s water level currently stands at 1,066.09 feet.

This most recent projection is the first released in the 2023 water year. The water year runs from the beginning of October to the end of September.

Fall usually marks a fairly stagnant period for the reservoir.

“Most years exhibit a seasonal pattern, with decreases in pool elevation from February to August, roughly, and then a slow rise back to February again,” Tom Corringham, a research economist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California, San Diego, told Newsweek.

This year, Lake Mead’s elevation rose from January to September, which was “somewhat unusual,” but not overly so, Corringham said.

“There have been other years like 2023 in the historical record,” he said.

Any change and update in Lake Mead water levels is important to officials, as concerns remain about the reservoir drying up. Despite slight fluctuations in the lake’s water levels, it remains only about 30 percent full.

The reservoir received an influx of water this past spring, thanks to a particularly wet year in the Southwest. Above-average levels of snowpack that accumulated in the surrounding mountains replenished the reservoir.

But levels remain dangerously low for the lake, which provides water for approximately 25 million people living in the Colorado River Basin.

Lake Mead hit a record low level in the summer of 2022, at 1,040 feet. Although the situation has since improved, officials are paying close attention to trends to ensure it does not get worse.

The concern is that if the region faces severe drought again, the lake could reach dead pool levels, around 895 feet. At that point, water would no longer flow past Hoover Dam.

Lake Mead is far from the only reservoir in the U.S. in this predicament. Lake Powell, its neighbor, has also reached record low levels in recent years. Like Lake Mead, it received a substantial influx of water following the high accumulation of snowpack, but the situation remains concerning.

Do you have a tip on a science story that Newsweek should be covering? Do you have a question about Lake Mead? Let us know via science@newsweek.com.

Volcanic eruption punched a hole in Earth’s ozone layer, study finds

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The 2022 eruption of the Hunga-Tonga Hunga-Haapai volcano tore a chunk out of the Earth’s ozone layer due to the huge volumes of water vapor it poured into the atmosphere, according to a new study published in the journal Science.

Situated on an island in Tonga, the volcano erupted on January 15 of that year, releasing 100,000 times more energy than the Hiroshima nuclear bomb in its huge explosion and matching Mount St. Helens’ power.

The eruption depleted the ozone layer by up to 5 percent in some regions within a single week of the event.

This was as a result of the enormous volumes of water pumped into the atmosphere from the eruption—alongside black ash, hydrochloric acid (HCl) and sulfur dioxide—forming plumes of vapor towering up to 34 miles high.

“During the Hunga Tonga eruption, a variety of substances were released into the upper atmosphere,” Stephanie Evan, lead author of the study and researcher at the Laboratoire de l’Atmosphère et des Cyclones (LACy), CNRS, Université de La Réunion, told Newsweek. “This included water vapor, sulfur dioxide (SO2), and volcanic ash. Specifically, SO2 is a prominent volcanic gas that can react with atmospheric water vapor to form volcanic aerosols, primarily composed of sulfuric acid. These aerosols have the capacity to scatter sunlight, impacting climate and playing a significant role in upper atmospheric chemistry, particularly with regard to ozone.”

This vapor reacted with a number of other chemicals shot out of the volcano, resulting in the breaking down of O3 ozone in the atmosphere above the tropical southwestern Pacific and Indian Ocean regions.

“Volcanic aerosols in the upper atmosphere play a significant role in ozone chemistry. These aerosols can facilitate chemical reactions that convert typically inactive gases into ozone-depleting molecules, notably chlorine atoms,” Evan explains.

“The increase in water vapor following the Hunga-Tonga eruption had a pivotal impact. It raised relative humidity and cooled the upper atmosphere, primarily between 25 and 30 km in altitude. This change in conditions allowed chemical reactions to occur on the surfaces of volcanic aerosols at temperatures higher than their usual range. The chemical reactions that occurred on the hydrated volcanic aerosols resulted in the creation of reactive chlorine compounds, like chlorine monoxide (ClO), from chlorine compounds that were not typically active, such as hydrogen chloride (HCl).”

The authors of the study described in the paper how they launched balloons from Réunion Island in the Indian Ocean into the volcanic plume, five days after the eruptions, in order to measure the chemical reactions occurring as it floated away into the atmosphere.

They found that the significant increase in water vapor and aerosol surface area was accompanied by substantial ozone depletion, at a rate of 0.07ppmv/day [parts per million volume per day]. They also reduced concentrations of HCl and increased ClO, indicating that the chlorine was reacting with O3 ozone, eroding the O3 levels in the atmosphere.

“In simple terms, the volcanic aerosols enabled the formation of substances that could break down ozone, contributing to its reduction. This transformation of chlorine species contributed to the fast reduction of ozone in the upper atmosphere above the tropical southwestern Pacific and Indian Ocean region in the week after the eruption,” Evan said.

Ozone concentrations in the region of the plume was found to have decreased rapidly by 5 percent in a single week. While huge, this is nowhere near the degree of reduction over the Antarctic, where the ozone hole depletes by around 60 percent between September and November each year. The disruption to the ozone over the tropics was unusual, as this area is usually very invariable in ozone thickness.

“One noteworthy aspect of the Hunga Tonga eruption was the injection of an unprecedented amount of water vapor to very high altitudes. During the campaign, we observed water vapor levels reaching at least 70 times the normal background levels,” Evan said. “This increase in water vapor was correlated with a decrease in ozone and the presence of aerosol layers. These aerosols facilitated chemical reactions that transformed typically inactive gases in the upper atmosphere into ozone-depleting molecules, such as chlorine atoms.”

The scientists expected that the volcanic plume would drift over the Antarctic, further thinning the hole over the southern pole of the planet. However, observations of the Antarctic ozone hole have shown that it remained unchanged by the volcano.

“As the volcanic plume from Hunga Tonga traveled over time within the tropics, it gradually dispersed. The predominant dispersion of the plume was towards the Southern Hemisphere midlatitudes, primarily due to the large-scale circulation patterns in the upper atmosphere,” Evan said. “During this dispersal, the concentration of water vapor in the plume decreased. Our research indicates that water vapor levels needed to be significantly elevated, at around 20 times the normal background levels, for the chemical reactions on volcanic aerosols that lead to ozone destruction. Consequently, as the plume dissipated, and water vapor levels returned to lower values by the end of January 2022, we observed a cessation of rapid ozone depletion in the NASA satellite measurements.”

The authors hope to use these findings to further study how natural disasters might impact the atmosphere, and therefore, climate change.

“The introduction of a significant amount of water vapor into the upper atmosphere, as observed during the Hunga-Tonga eruption, can have several implications for climate change. Water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas that absorbs heat in the form of infrared radiation from the Earth’s surface and subsequently re-emits it. Consequently, the injection of such a substantial quantity of water vapor is expected to contribute to warming in the atmosphere for a period of several years until the gas naturally dissipates,” Evan said.

“Moreover, the increased presence of water vapor may also have secondary effects on atmospheric chemistry, including processes that influence ozone levels. However, these specific implications were not within the scope of our study but are currently the subject of ongoing research within the scientific community.”

Do you have a science story to share with Newsweek? Do you have a question about volcanoes? Let us know via science@newsweek.com.

Update 10/20/23, 8:36 a.m. ET: This article has been updated with comment from Evan.

Surprise response to weather phenomenon is bad omen for the future

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Meteorologists are worried about what future hurricane seasons may look like given the outcome of this year’s storms.

As of Thursday, 19 named storms have formed this year, with the addition of one unnamed subtropical storm that formed in January. The storm count has already surpassed the average of 14 storms per season, and there’s still more than a month left in the 2023 season. This year’s season has turned out to be an active one despite the forming of El Niño, which can decrease the number of storms.

El Niño is a climate pattern that starts with warm water building up in the tropical Pacific Ocean west of South America. El Niño usually warrants more wind shear, which decreases the number of storms forming in the Atlantic and leads to a “quieter than normal” hurricane season, according to WFLA Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist Jeff Berardelli.

However, this year, the climate phenomenon was in an “unprecedented battle” with the “exceedingly hot water temperatures in the Atlantic,” Berardelli said, and meteorologists were unsure which climate component would win out during the hurricane season, as warm water temperatures can lead to a more active hurricane season.

With more than a month left in the season, it appears that the warm Atlantic waters won the battle against El Niño’s wind shear. Berardelli told Newsweek that is a concerning sign for the future.

“If this year is any hint as to what the future holds because of the warm waters’ ability to make active hurricane seasons and El Niño’s inability to beat it…that’s a concern,” Berardelli said. “We could continue to see these very active Atlantic seasons like what we’ve seen this summer.”

The season is a bad sign of what the future might bring.

“It doesn’t bode well for future years,” Berardelli said. “The Atlantic may not be nearly as warm [in the future] because it was so off-the-charts hot. We couldn’t have imagined it being this warm. But it doesn’t bode well for heading into the future because the Atlantic is not going to cool down below normal. If anything, it’s going to slowly trend warmer over the decades.”

Although El Niño was unable to counter the warmer temperatures that caused the active season, it did mitigate the season from “being an absolute catastrophe” by keeping the storms on the weak side, Berardelli said. Many of this year’s storms have been weaker than usual, outside of a few strong storms such as Hurricane Idalia, which tore through Florida’s western coast in August as a Category 3 hurricane.

“It’s conceivable…that El Niño has helped to mitigate the intensity of this season,” Berardelli said. “I would’ve hated to see water temperatures as hot as they were not in El Niño because then all bets are off without an El Niño to at least slow or quiet the extraordinary amount of potential.”

Berardelli warned that with still five weeks left in the season, there is plenty of potential for strong storms to develop before November 30.

NBA champ Rick Fox sees a climate win in "green" concrete

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Athlete and actor Rick Fox is probably best known for his 13 years in the NBA, which included a “three-peat” run of championships with the Los Angeles Lakers at the start of the 21st century. Fox has also a been a familiar presence in movies and on television, appearing in dozens of roles including the HBO prison drama Oz and the reality show Dancing with the Stars.

So, Fox’s latest career move is a curious switch. Fox is now co-founder and CEO of Partanna, a company that makes “green” concrete in an effort to turn what is now a major source of carbon dioxide emissions into a climate solution.

“I’ve always been on amazing teams,” Fox told Newsweek, explaining the common thread connecting the basketball court and concrete buildings. “I look at this one and it doesn’t surprise me that I would be smack-dab in the center of a team that’s looking to change the way we build in the world, and undertaking something that appears insurmountable.”

On Monday, the company unveiled a house in Nassau, the capital of Fox’s native country, the Bahamas. The home is built from concrete that the company says goes beyond low-carbon to carbon-negative, removing CO2 from the atmosphere as it solidifies.

By avoiding emissions during cement production and removing CO2 from the air, the company says, the 1,250-square-foot home will reduce some 180 metric tons of CO2. Construction of a standard concrete-built home, by comparison, generates more than 70 tons of CO2.

The house is the first of 1,000 planned for a development that the Bahamian government hopes will offer residents more storm-resistant shelter. Concrete construction offers advantages in a region where climate change is making tropical storms more intense.

Fox said witnessing the destruction of Hurricane Dorian, a Category-5 storm that ravaged the Bahamas in 2019, is part of what set him on a course to co-found Partanna.

“It really shook me into an action state,” Fox said. “I started to ask, what were some of the solutions in the world that would allow us to withstand these storms going forward?”

The following year brought the COVID pandemic and further soul-searching about the fragile state of society. Fox got to know architect and designer Sam Marshall over a series of conversations while they were both in lockdown, and the two agreed to start Partanna.

Fox is a man who knows a winning shot when he sees one—just ask some of his opponents. He said green concrete is a win-win for places like the island where he grew up, places that are most affected by climate change.

Portland Cement Problem

Concrete is humanity’s second-most used commodity, after water, and the world’s most widely used building material. The production of concrete is enormously energy intensive—it consumes about 3 percent of the world’s energy—and is responsible for roughly 8 percent of our greenhouse gas emissions.

The main climate culprit is Portland cement, the glue that holds together the aggregate materials in concrete. Portland cement, named for an English stone quarry, was developed in the early 19th century by heating limestone and clay in an oven and grinding it into a fine powder. That process has been improved over time, but the basic formula has remained the foundation of the cement industry for centuries. Portland cement provided the building blocks for modern society while also building up massive amounts of CO2 in the atmosphere.

In the past couple of decades, innovators have come up with ways to make cleaner concrete. These alternatives reduce or capture the emissions from Portland cement production, incorporate recycled materials into the concrete or replace the Portland cement altogether with a new kind of binder, as Partanna is doing.

Dozens of green concrete brands and companies have emerged, ranging from giants of the building materials world to small startups.

On the large end, Swiss-based Holcim says its ECOPact brands reduce the CO2 emissions from concrete by anywhere from 30 percent to 90 percent and have been used in recent major construction projects, such as Georgetown University’s new residence halls in Washington, D.C. At the smaller end, the startup Brimstone, in Oakland, California, is developing a version of Portland cement using a source material other than limestone for a carbon-negative product.

A 2020 study in the monthly journal Materials Today found that green forms of concrete can not only lower greenhouse gas emissions—they can also reduce the industry’s massive intake of fresh water and aggregate materials like sand and gravel. Many of the new materials were also found to have better performance than conventional concrete and cement.

Now the main challenge is to bring down costs and greatly increase scale, and that will require action from concrete users, as well as producers.

“I see really promising technologies, but we have teaspoons of it compared to what I need in the tens of thousands of tons,” construction sustainability expert Sara Neff told Newsweek.

As head of U.S. sustainability for the multinational construction and real estate company Lendlease, Neff is looking for a lot of concrete and she needs to meet the company’s ambitious goals for emissions reductions. Lendlease has committed to “absolute carbon-zero operation” by 2040, meaning the company will not use carbon offsets to account for emissions, but will instead create no greenhouse gases in its work.

She points to a Lendlease project under construction in New York as an example of how the company can cut emissions by using less concrete. The 800-unit apartment complex at One Java Street in Brooklyn will reduce the emissions from concrete by about a quarter, Neff said, compared to traditional construction through the use of a material called “recycled glass pozzolan,” in place of some Portland cement.

But replacement materials are not always available at the quantities needed. Neff hopes the purchasing power of companies like Lendlease and investments by sustainability-minded financiers will spur more green concrete production.

“I really do think that it’s possible in the next five years, if we unlock that funding, to get them to scale,” she said.

The Inflation Reduction Act, the Biden administration’s climate legislation from 2022, also promises to give the industry a boost.

Congress included close to $6 billion in the IRA for the Department of Energy, to help heavy industries like concrete to lower their carbon footprint. The DOE’s Advanced Industrial Facilities Deployment Program offers competitive grants for companies that adopt low-carbon cement production, and the Biden administration’s Buy Clean Initiative prioritizes low-carbon materials for federally funded construction projects.

An Island Kid

Fox said Partanna has not yet benefitted from the subsidies in the IRA but could do so as it expands U.S. production. Meanwhile, the company has forged a relationship with the Bahamian government to scale up its concrete production in ways that help the island nation adapt to climate change.

“I’m an island kid that came from a dot on the map,” Fox said of his childhood in the Bahamas. “We are at the frontline of climate change.”

The islands face a trifecta of climate impacts: rising sea levels, more intense storms and threats to drinking water. Fox said he thinks his company can contribute to helping the country cope with all three.

Kevin MacDonald is a longtime concrete researcher who is now an engineering advisor for Fox’s team at Partanna. MacDonald said he and his partners tackled the cement problem at the basic chemistry level, rethinking the processes and the ingredients that can be used.

“We’re not just trying to do less bad,” MacDonald told Newsweek. “What we’re trying to do is solve problems.”

Their resulting patented process replaces Portland cement as the binder in concrete, eliminating much of the CO2 emissions. Partanna’s main ingredients also make use of slag from the steel industry and brine from desalination plants, an upcycling of wastes that would otherwise take up landfill space or, in the case of brine, potentially harm marine or freshwater ecosystems.

The Bahama Islands rely on desalination for much of their water supply and depend on healthy coasts to support a tourism economy, so it is important to find a productive use for the brine from desalination.

“We’re taking waste that would otherwise be just discarded into the ocean and we turn it into a feedstock,” Fox said. “We make it a positive product.”

After Fox welcomed Bahamian Prime Minister Philip Davis to tour the new house, ahead of Monday’s unveiling, Davis said in a statement that he was “immensely proud” that a Bahamian entrepreneur helped bring it about. Davis said the home is solid proof that the answers to our global crises can come from those most affected.

“We are not just on the frontline of climate change,” Davis said. “We are the frontline of solutions.”

Update 10/18/23, 4:50 p.m. ET: An earlier version of this article incorrectly referred to Holcim as LafargeHolcim.